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Generate a return in your investment portfolio.

 

YTD Managed Fund Performance (Dec):

+37.5%

About the Alpha Generator

Why Choose Us?

Our company offers two options for prospective clients:

1. We provide access to the Alpha Generator managed fund. It is now open and taking applications. The return of this investment out-performs most other derivative managed funds with a consistent return of 8 – 10% per month since its establishment in July 2012.

2. We provide coaching, training and educational services to online traders. In our one-on-one consultations, we teach our clients how to trade professionally and successfully using various methods and strategies. We also actively monitor our clients’ trading accounts and provide relevant and accurate information and advice to ensure our clients have all the tools necessary to maximise profitability and reduce risk. In this way, we effectively act as a personal trading partner.

Definition of an ‘Alpha Generator’

Any security that, when added to an existing portfolio of assets, generates excess returns or returns higher than a pre-selected benchmark without additional risk. An alpha generator can be any security; this includes government bonds, foreign stocks, or derivative products such as stock options and futures.

The Alpha Generator ltd. seeks to increase an investor’s profit through an investment solution where the asset allocation will add at least one security to a portfolio that will outperform all others without notably increasing the level of risk. This is achieved through relevant and prudent advice, financial education, and shrewd money management services. The Alpha Generator employs highly trained, intelligent analysts that have years of experience in the financial markets and knows them intimately. Each analyst is adept at a specific field in investment, whether it be stocks, bonds, ETFs, commodities or forex, and is ready and able to provide services regarding that field at your request. The Alpha Generator was primarily established to provide investors who do not have a background in finance with the tools necessary to trade for themselves. We work with our clients tirelessly and continuously so that they turn a profit, month on month.

The team at the Alpha Generator has a great track record of customer service. Our results from consultancy services are excellent and the return on money management have people talking. Prospective clients are free to view the up-to-date statements of the investment accounts. They can be viewed on this website at any time.

The Alpha Generator was founded on the principles of transparency, honesty and providing high quality services in the best interests of the customer.

Please click on the services below for more information about what we can do for you. If you would like to sign up to the emailed Trade Marked updates, please send a message to josh@thealphagenerator.com with your request or complete the contact form below.

Some Of Our Skills

Chart Analysis

Market Analysis

Financial Modeling

Programming

Communication

Our Team

Joshua Brown

Director Expertise: Macro trends impacting currencies, commodities and other markets. Technical and fundamental analysis.

Joshua Brown earned degrees in Economics, Finance, and Business Management from RMIT University in Melbourne, Australia before entering the financial industry in 2001. He has since worked for prestigious companies such as Goldman Sachs JBWere and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. In his last position he was employed as a senior analyst, senior account manager and department manager at AvaTrade. His experience ranges from forex trading and commodity derivatives, all the way to portfolio management, investor relations and education, financial planning, and even penny stocks. He also currently writes for several financial websites such as DailyFX and Seeking Alpha.

The Trade Marked Blog

If you get the timing right, buying oil in the near future might be hugely profitable.
Posted by admin | Uncategorized | 0
As you may be aware, the price of crude oil has fallen sharply over the past 6 months. As I write the price is roughly $47 barrel, the first time it’s dropped this low since 2008 and the second time since 2005. This presents a very good opportunity to traders and investors who want to purchase crude oil at a bargain price and hold it until it returns to a more historically reasonable level. As an analyst I do see that the strong downward momentum will continue in the near future, but I do see the price bottoming out at about $40, a favourable price to go long and take a position even if it does fall below that transitorily. Most analysts would agree that $40 is the floor but how low can it really go? You might here quotes of $10 or $20, but realistically, at this price producers would have no incentive to sell their product. As it is, oil producers are doing it tough and some are likely to cease operating at the current level. There are some very good reasons why the oil price will maintain this level for perhaps, at most another three months, but the two most convincing arguments are that oil producing countries including OPEC simply cannot balance their budgets at this level (especially those funding war efforts) and that geopolitical complications should start to take their toll on suppliers during the year of 2015.  I wouldn’t be surprised if you hear int he news that important foreign oil pipelines are mysteriously sabotaged. Another fundamental reason why oil has seen a dramatic fall l is because OPEC are looking to defend their market share against the increased production of shale oil in Canada and the US and so it is my firm belief that the price has been allowed to settle  to $40 on purpose. Once shale oil producers are squeezed out of the market, as most require a crude oil price of $70 to make their operations profitable, you will see the price creep up again, and to perhaps levels much higher than we have seen in the past. The over supply of oil will not last for long as America wakes up from its seasonal and economic winter and although China is slowing down, it’s economy is still growing at an extraordinary pace. Europe should also see a recovery during the year. The price of oil has taken a hit due to the sky rocketing price of the US dollar relative tot he euro which makes oil more expensive to overseas buyers. Most currency analysts believe the euro will stabilise this year. Taking this forecast into account, the Alpha Generator is offering a once-in-a-decade opportunity to newsletter readers who want to buy in at the current level and hold it for a year or so with a target being around $60 – $70. Here is a chart you should look at to see what happened last time it bottomed out:
Technical indicators are telling us that the price of oil is stabilising and the commodity is severly oversold with the price falling below its linear regression channel:
If you are interest for us to trade oil on your behalf, please make contact as soon as possible. This opportunity won’t last long. You won’t want to miss out on an obvious profitable opportunity. We expect the return to be roughly 75% to 100%. If your not convinced, perhaps this article might help: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-still-cash-in-on-the-collapse-in-crude-oil-2015-01-21?dist=tcountdown Remember the mantra; “buy low, sell high, always.”
What will be in 2015?
Posted by admin | Uncategorized | 0
I believe 2015 will be a really interesting year for derivative investment and hedge funds generally. This will offer many profitable opportunities for an investor. My predictions for 2015 are:

1. Oil will find a bottom and will create a great buying opportunity for oil as well for the Canadian dollar. Buy on the way up not on the way down.
2. The Russian economy may not be the only one falling into recession. The Australian economy will have a tough time and may see a few quarters of negative GDP numbers. The AUD will fall further.
3. The US stock market will be volatile as the US lifts rates. It might drop and rise dramatically but that might not necessarily mean a bear market. Limited growth in US stock prices will mean investors look elsewhere for value.
4. Japan will be the success story of 2015, arising from a deflationary cycle and a recession stronger than ever. The Yen will get stronger.
5. Changing weather patterns will cause havoc and lead to drought as the El Nino makes a comeback. This will reduce the supply of commodities and raise prices such as coffee and sugar.

In 2015, not all news will be positive but most global events can yield investment returns. I hope 2015 is a profitable year for you. Good luck!
There is almost no risk buying the Euro against the Swiss Franc at the current level.
Posted by admin | Uncategorized | 0
Please see my analysis with this link:

Can't go wrong buying EUR/CHF at current level by maccabean on TradingView.com


This link will take you to trading view where you can view my other recent (and successful) investment ideas.


The Alpha Generator is now also Myfxbook. We're doing quite well at the moment.

Keep in mind the attached chart below does not represent the performance of the fund from inception but the performance of this particular sub account managed by the fund.

The Australian Economy Is On Shaky Ground But You Wouldn't Know Looking At Domestic Stocks
Posted by admin | Uncategorized | 0
  • Recently released Australian statistics paint a gloomy picture of the economy.

  • There are several very real threats facing the Australian economy.

  • Do Australian equities trade at a level that takes into account these threats.



The latest statistics illustrating the state of the Australian economy are not pretty. The most recent indication that the Australian market is on shaky ground is derived from the New Motor Vehicle Sales data (m/m) that came out today. It showed that the sale of new cars and trucks declined by 1.6%, the third decline in four months. This in itself would be nothing to worry about, but it is considered a leading indication of consumer confidence - consumers are most likely to purchase expensive items if they feel safe in their financial position or if they are confident they will be able to pay off the loan in the coming years. Cars and trucks are an oft-traded expensive goods that can be relied upon for information about where Australians are in the economic cycle. The property market would also give us a good idea of the economic situation, but the Australian property boom that has been fuelled by foreign investment for years has so warped housing prices, that it's a valid argument to state that it trades in a bubble that will shortly burst. The Reserve Bank of Australia has stated on numerous occasions that the property market is a cause for concern and this is the primary reason why they have not lowered the interest rate order to boost an economy tormented by plummeting commodity prices. Remember it was the resources boom that most likely saved Australia from the GFC that afflicted all major economies in 2008/09. With this boom over and Chinese growth and global economic activity slowing, what will save Australia now from any external risk? Could it be hit twice as hard seeing as the country is way past due for a true recession, not experienced since 1990/01 and are the RBA's hands tied in softening the blow due to a potential property bubble, the bursting of which could be far more catastrophic?

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The ASX200 is currently trading at levels that were considered fair to overly priced in April this year. It extended those gains 4% to 5680 but has since retreated. At that time the Australian bureau of statistics was publishing healthy economic data, but here is a sample of the most important recent results:

11/11/14 - NAB business confidence. Previous 5. Actual 4
10/11/14 - Home Loans. Previous -0.9%. Forecast -0.3%. Actual -0.7%
10/11/14 - Employment Change. Previous -23.7k. Forecast 20.3k. Actual 24.1k
04/11/14 - Trade Balance. Previous -1.01B. Forecast -1.78B. Actual -2.2%
04/11/1 - Retail Sales m/m. Previous 0.1%. Forecast 0.3%. Actual 1.2%
03/11/14 - Building Approvals m/m. Previous 3.4%. Forecast -0.9%. Actual -11.0%
30/10/14 - Import prices q/q. Previous -3%. Forecast 0.3%. Actual -0.8%

These figures have come out in the backdrop of rising unemployment to 6.2% (this rate was last published in Jan 2002), declining immigration and plummeting Iron Ore price, Australia's main export. Equity market investors must be asking themselves if we have recently hit the top and if it is possible to add more value to stocks with these negative statistics in mind. Perhaps a good reason for the propped up index price is due to America's economic recovery. US stocks have surged ahead following years of QE and Australia has no doubt piggy-backed (to some degree) upon the stimulus wave as well. Historically, Australian stocks looked to US equity markets for guidance but we are witnessing a clear divergence in the direction of the two economies and the fair value of Australian market prices do not equal those of its American counterparts. Yet despite its poorer fundamentals, as American stock prices continue to rise with conviction, they continue to pull Australian stocks up along with them. It's only a matter of time before that bond breaks, and once it does, it may stay broken for years to come as is the case with the Nikkei.

It should be stated that even though the US economy's recovery is moving along satisfactorily, a stock market correction is predicted as a real possibility within the next six months as stimulus comes to a close, and an increase in interest rates is factored into the market which is necessary to take some steam out of the hot and overly-valued financial system. Many argue that after years of America's corporate addiction to cheap money (the benefit of which has not filtered down to households) an asset bubble has developed which itself poses a new catastrophic danger. In other words, there are large problems facing the US economy as well. Owing to the high US/Australian equity market correlation, it may be that the upcoming correction will hit Australian equities far harder than those on US exchanges.

One of Australia's largest sources of income is derived from the mining and energy sectors. Coal and particularly crude oil have fallen heavily and although Australia's not a huge producer of oil, its lack of demand driving down the price is indicative of the state of China's manufacturing machine which is starting to decelerate. The construction sector in China is also in trouble with the housing bubble considered a risk to the Australian economy. Glen Stevens of the RBA stated recently in a policy report that "concerns about asset quality in China have been heightened by softening conditions in the residential property market. While China has been able to manage a small number of defaults in trust funds and corporate bonds, a more widespread series of private-sector defaults - potentially associated with a sharp correction in property prices - could be more damaging."

To a large degree, Australia depends on a strong building industry in China for advantageous prices of construction materials (NYSEARCA:TAO). As the amount construction drops off, the prices of the materials that the mining industry in Australia produces falls as well. Lower mining prices and activity means increased unemployment and less taxable income. Additionally, as defaults increase in China, Chinese property investors are forced to sell up foreign asset investments such as those in Australia to pay off debts incurred by rapidly falling Chinese property prices. As thousands of cashed up Chinese property investors have had almost unfettered access to the Australian market for years, their sell-up brings us to the risk of an Australian property bubble popping in the near future.

Australia has the third largest housing price to income ratio in the world. Australian properties have never been so out of reach to households looking to own a home, particularly those looking to buy their first. If they take the plunge, Australians are forced to take out loans that are ever increasingly harder to pay off, they become more sensitive to interest rate rises, but more importantly, due to cashed up foreign investors who are willing to pay the higher prices to diversify and hedge their wealth, the domestic mortgages acquired do not accurately reflect the true price of the property bought. For a home owner, this is not too much of a cause for concern as a 30 year mortgage will paid off at any time during the economic cycle, but for those who purchase an investment property, they will get far less than what they paid should the foreign investors flee the market to pay off their own local debts. Property funds in particular will be in all sorts of trouble, some of which are listed on the ASX 200. Adding to this problem, with domestic interest rates rising following an historically long run of very low rates, as Australians become increasingly unable to make their repayments, they will be forced to sell at huge losses potentially leading to bank repossessions which may in turn lead to large bank losses if it is widespread. This is a gloomy but real scenario that will most certainly lead to a protracted recession.

The ASX200 (BEAR, EWA) is currently only 5% from the last high, but does that truly reflect the true state of the economy and do the fundamentals support the current price level? For the last six years, the Australian economy has been firing all cylinders, but the current data tells us that this is currently not the case. To compound concerns, there are clear and present dangers facing the Australian economy that have clearly not been factored into prices. The Australian equity market may dodge one bullet, but it can't dodge all of them.

Contacts

Please feel welcome to contact us anytime.

Address

Wellington, New Zealand

Phone

(64) 21 366 860

Email

josh@thealphagenerator.com